Friday, April 3, 2009

How prices compound - 1352 Courtyard Drive, Charlottesville, VA



How prices compound - $359,000

A reader asked me to review this house.

At least for this house, we can thank the realtor for providing 27 photos of the property.  It is MLS #459549.

The builder bought the land (0.15 acres) for $59.9K in 2005.  It was a multi-transaction deal for 2 properties so I split the cost in two.   From the photos I estimate the construction cost with builder profit to be about $70/sq ft.  2,116 sq ft would be $148,120.  Total cost all in with profit to the builder would be $208.2K.

Here is how the prices compound:

  1. When the builder bought the land it was over-valued.  $59.9K for 0.15 acres is close to $400K/acre!  Especially when right nearby you have Highway 64 and a train line in the background.  I would have only valued the land for $15K.
  2. The first buyer bought the house for $304K in 2006.  That put an extra $100K into the builders pocket.
  3. The second buyer bought the house for $335K in 2008.  At that price the seller was just trying to cover their costs of the home and the realtors cost.
  4. They now have it on the market for $359K.  At that price the seller is just trying to cover their loan and the realtors cost.
It is assessed for $315K.

If you took out the realtor costs for both of the transactions and the extra $100K that the builder put in his pocket, and the over purchase of the land you would be back down to about $163K.  

I think it is worth somewhere between $163K to $220K.

Before everyone gets in an uproar about how much lower that is than what the assessed values are, I want you to look at how each time a pricing error is made, it gets passed down to the next buyer, and the next buyer, and the next.

Eventually you get to a tipping point that the mistakes cost too much, and the price has to be significantly driven down again.  Is it fair for current buyers to pay for the mistakes of previous buyers? 

What do you think?

Summary Information
Parcel Information
Total Acres0.1500
Primary Prop. Address1353 COURTYARD DR
Other AddressN/A
Property Card(s)1
Lot77 PHASE 4B
Property NameN/A
SubdivisionRedfields
Notes06/16/2005 $119,810 FOR 2 LOTS TM 76R1-04-69 & 77 
Subdivide Information 
Deed Book, Page (1981 , 244 ) Conveyance ( ) Date of Sale (01/03/2001) Transaction, Date (200500366 08/21/2003)
Owner Information
OwnerKALUPNIEKS, ANDRIS
Address1353 COURTYARD DR 
CHARLOTTESVILLE VA, 22903
Owner as of Jan 1stKALUPNIEKS, ANDRIS
Most Recent Assessment Information
Year2009
Assessment Date01/01/2009
Assessment ReasonReassessment
Land Value$95,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$220,800
Total Value$315,800
Most Recent Sales History
Previous OwnerSLAWSKI, DESIREE
OwnerKALUPNIEKS, ANDRIS
Sale Date01/28/2008
Sale Price$335,000
Deed Book/Page3543/684
Validity of SaleValid Sale
Other Tax Information as of Jan 1st
State CodeSingle Family Resid (Urban)
Tax TypeReg. Taxable
Parcel Level Use CodeSingle Family
Primary Zoning DesignationPlanned Residential Develop
AppraiserCRB
Improvements - Card 1
Improvements (Card Level Data)
Card TypeResidential
Infrastructure Improvements
Public Water /Sewer 
Whirlpool w/ Separate Shower 
Water & Sewer - Jurisdictional Area Designation
Primary Building Additions
Garage, Attached Frame.....260 sq ft
Patio, Aggregate.....336 sq ft
Porch, Aggregate Floor.....30 sq ft
Primary Building Details
Comm. SectionN/A
Card Level Use CodeSingle Family
Year Built2006
Year RemodeledN/A
ConditionGood
GradeB---
Number of Stories2
Story Height (ft)N/A
House Type2 Sty Transitional
Finished Sq. Ft.2,116
Basement TypeNone
Basement Garage Doors0
Bsmt Fin. Sq. Ft.0
Bsmt Tot. Sq. Ft.0
Attic TypeN/A
Attic Tot. Sq. Ft.0
Roof MaterialDimensional
HeatingHeat Pump
CoolingCentral Air
Fireplace(s)1
Fireplace TypeGas Fireplace
Wall FramingN/A
Exterior CoveringVinyl Siding
Bedrooms3
Dining Rooms1
Family Rooms1
Full Baths2
Half Baths2
Total Room Count
(Every unit assumed to have kitchen and living room. Bathrooms are not included in total room count.)
Land Value Information
Land Value Information
Land UseHomesite 1
Acres0.1500
Sq. Ft.6534.0000
Rate$95,000.00
Adj Rate$95,000.00
Base Value$95,000.00
Adj Amount$0.00
Value$95,000.00
Assessments
Assessments
Year2009
Assessment Date01/01/2009
Assessment ReasonReassessment
Land Value$95,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$220,800
Total Value$315,800
Year2008
Assessment Date01/01/2008
Assessment ReasonReassessment
Land Value$95,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$253,100
Total Value$348,100
Year2007
Assessment Date01/01/2007
Assessment ReasonReassessment
Land Value$95,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$244,700
Total Value$339,700
Year2006
Assessment Date06/14/2006
Assessment ReasonNew Construction-2nd Cycle
Land Value$60,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$204,200
Total Value$264,200
Year2006
Assessment Date01/01/2006
Assessment ReasonEnd-of-year Rollover
Land Value$60,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$0
Total Value$60,000
Year2005
Assessment Date01/01/2005
Assessment ReasonReassessment
Land Value$60,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$0
Total Value$60,000
Year2004
Assessment Date03/22/2004
Assessment ReasonDivision of Property
Land Value$45,000
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$0
Total Value$45,000
Year2004
Assessment DateN/A
Assessment ReasonEnd-of-year Rollover
Land Value$0
Land Use Value$0
Improvements Value$0
Total Value$0
Transfer History
Transfer History
Previous OwnerSLAWSKI, DESIREE
OwnerKALUPNIEKS, ANDRIS
Sale Date01/28/2008
Sale Price$335,000
Deed Book/Page3543/684
Validity of SaleValid Sale
Previous OwnerCRAIG ENTERPRISES INC
OwnerSLAWSKI, DESIREE
Sale Date05/18/2006
Sale Price$304,236
Deed Book/Page3212/662
Validity of SaleValid Sale
Previous OwnerREDFIELDS DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION
OwnerCRAIG ENTERPRISES INC
Sale Date06/16/2005
Sale Price$119,810
Deed Book/Page3002/254
Validity of SaleMulti-Trans
Other Parcel Characteristics
Other Parcel Characteristics
School Districts
Elementary School DistrictCale
Middle School DistrictWalton
High School DistrictMonticello
Magisterial District & Voting Precinct Information
Magisterial DistrictSamuel Miller
Voting PrecintCountry Green
Census Information
Census Block Group1
Census Tract112
Zoning Information
PrimaryPlanned Residential Development
SecondaryUnassigned
MinorUnassigned
OtherUnassigned
Proffered?Yes
Natural Resource Extraction Overlay?No
Flood Hazard Overlay?No
Airport Impact Area?Yes
Scenic Stream Overlay?No
Entrance Corridor?Yes
Comprehensive Plan Information
Comp Plan AreaUrban Area 5
Comp Plan Land Use - PrimaryNeighborhood Density
Comp Plan Land Use - SecondaryUnassigned
Comp Plan Land Use - MinorUnassigned
Comp Plan Land Use - OtherUnassigned
Land Use Survey Information
Land Use - PrimaryResidential -- Single-family (incl. modular homes)
Number of Structures - Primary1
Number of Dwelling Units - Primary1
Land Use - SecondaryUnassigned
Number of Structures - Secondary0
Number of Dwelling Units - Secondary0
Land Use - MinorUnassigned
Number of Structures - Minor0
Number of Dwelling Units - Minor0
Other Information
SubdivisionRedfields
MPO/CHART Area?Yes
Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ)171
Jurisdictional Area DesignationWater & Sewer
WatershedMoores Creek
Water Supply Protection Area?No
Development Area?Yes
Other Rural Land?No
Ag/Forest DistrictN/A
Conservation Easement?No

6 comments:

  1. "Eventually you get to a tipping point that the mistakes cost too much, and the price has to be significantly driven down again. Is it fair for current buyers to pay for the mistakes of previous buyers?"

    Of course it's not fair, nor is it good business (to respond as if your question was anything other than rhetorical). And it's "Fake," an "asset bubble."

    And these "mistakes" happen with existing homes as well. It's how the Cville market got to where it is...stalled. For every property that gets sold, there is at least 1 more that come on the market the same day, usually more like 5-10, to replace it, now that we're in the "Season."

    And the Gen Y's, and some X's, are priced out just when the market needs 'em the most:

    http://realcville.blogspot.com/2009/04/charlottesville-albemarle-real-estate.html

    ReplyDelete
  2. there is also sheer madness in the market - look what just got listed....

    421 Alwood Ln - $950,000 MLS# 463956

    ReplyDelete
  3. Real C'Ville - great post, and thanks for the link to your excellent post on your site regarding how the market is pricing people out.

    Karen - 421 Alwood Ln is a great example of what happens when a seller is either overloaded in debt or clueless about the market. That property sold back on 10/26/2007 for $400K when it was then assessed for $277K.. now it is only assessed at $430K....woops!

    What really had me rolling on the floor was this in the description of the property:

    "Owner has agreed to perform $50,000 in upgrades, to be chosen by purchaser with a full price offer."

    Priceless!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Another ridiculous example of "affordable" housing in C'ville listed by the owner/agent. Unfortunately if you extrapolate the lunacy of this price upward for a 'real' house, the sky is the limit. LOL!!

    http://www.mycaar.com/(kkkgqn55jsvlwdydnzj0mv55)/propertyDetails.aspx?mls=454183

    626 Booker Street

    ReplyDelete
  5. That "thing" was featured on the bubble blog...It's "always" "for sale." A couple houses across the street have been rehabbed and gone for the low 200's.

    The seller is hoping somebody will bite and take the land and build...which is more realistic than ever these days, right?

    But it's also being marketed as a perfectly acceptable place to live. It's a tool shed or a gardening shack, not a house.

    I LOVE CHARLOTTESVILLE.

    ReplyDelete
  6. The house on Courtyard was just reduced by symbolic $10,000. Long way to go...

    ReplyDelete